Markov chain analysis of interprovincial migration in Finland

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to examine the development of the interpro­vincial migration system in Finland, given the following conditions: 1) interpro­vincial migration is a closed system, 2) migration probabilities are constant, 3) total population is unchanged, and 4) people are homogeneous. The Markov chain model is used to calculate the populations of provinces for the period 1966–2000. Comparisons are made with some other population projections in Finland. The theoretical result obtained may at least be used as a meaning­ful frame of reference for more detailed analyses.